Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 23.041305 26.177040 29.597156 33.606743 38.181824 43.243242 49.272708
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 18.539518 22.622426 27.411963 33.454129 40.886968 49.749698 61.146763
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.110818 19.658257 25.353360 33.029988 43.140676 56.048910 73.854888
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.759982 17.623330 24.098636 33.388224 46.438477 64.215597 90.435853
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.026062 16.112252 23.287542 34.208851 50.524355 74.172300 111.372741
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.479918 14.607166 22.245327 34.540602 54.013248 83.957491 134.062382
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.494559 13.768698 22.046072 36.106877 59.666073 98.030420 166.198648
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.448872 12.660474 21.249890 36.600022 63.727322 110.371298 198.139158
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.356730 11.292679 19.808016 35.766728 65.418791 119.088702 225.712808
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.535749 10.256521 18.762803 35.445857 67.969831 129.817366 259.307026
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.069276 9.784865 18.650243 36.828841 73.981132 148.151318 311.714607
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.726119 9.489268 18.818125 38.788709 81.516042 170.951897 378.443668
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.248877 8.868166 18.287327 39.327649 86.433958 189.787313 442.021197
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.684183 7.973016 17.054381 38.166651 87.497158 200.647710 490.365706
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.199857 7.168978 15.882631 36.932938 88.186599 210.907573 540.106654
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.862638 6.635288 15.217094 36.748704 91.352548 227.781367 611.102570
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.610342 6.254716 14.837708 37.186735 96.178156 249.887326 702.015310
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.362634 5.843187 14.316694 37.178907 99.888382 270.020161 793.102380
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.218161 5.662256 14.330084 38.566380 107.666421 302.936749 930.838230
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.034475 5.349953 13.958652 38.853266 112.472197 328.704503 1054.282673
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.813089 4.900976 13.154563 37.781807 113.136794 342.610860 1144.043250
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.642993 4.562663 12.591658 37.298020 115.478350 362.203075 1258.704133
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.558199 4.448999 12.634858 38.637869 123.833056 402.832275 1459.273337